Paris Masters Betting Preview: Djokovic Favourite as Race to London Heats Up

The last Masters-level tournament of the season takes place in Paris this week with Novak Djokovic the favourite as the Race to London heats up.

Djokovic is the top seed in Bercy but he will have strong competition as both Roger Federer and Rafael Nadal have both confirmed they are taking part in the event.


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At 7/4 in the Paris Masters betting odds, Djokovic is a short priced favourite but his record stands up to scrutiny, the Serbian superstar having won a record four titles here.

He also reached the final a year ago only to suffer a shock loss at the hands of the rising Russian talent Karen Khachanov, who triumphed in straight sets to seal a huge win.

Instead of either Federer or Nadal it is actually Daniil Medvedev who is the second favourite in the Paris Masters betting, with Dominic Thiem and Alexander Zverev among the other big names who should be in the frame.

It promises to be a thrilling week of action, especially with ATP Finals places still up for grabs, but where is the best value to be found in the tennis betting odds for the tournament?

Djokovic Avoids Federer and Nadal in the Draw

It is not just ATP Finals spots up for grabs this week as Djokovic and Nadal are going head to head for the right to top the world rankings at the end of the season.

Djokovic is clear of Nadal at the moment but that could all change, though the draw has been favourable to the world number one. Nadal and Federer are each in the bottom half.

The path to glory is far from clear for the Paris Masters favourite, though, as he will likely have to knock out Stefanos Tsitsipas and Medvedev if he is to make it through to the final.

Djokovic lost to Tsitsipas at the Shanghai Masters, a surprise defeat he will be keen to avenge if they meet in the quarter-finals at Bercy. Dusan Lajovic or Richard Gasquet are up first for Djokovic after an opening round bye with Diego Schwartzman likely up next in round three.

Tsitsipas has been in good form of late and at odds of 25/1 he might just be a decent option in the betting odds considering he will have nothing to fear from a clash against Djokovic.

At 5/1, Medvedev is another intriguing option from the top half of the draw, his status as the second favourite in the betting odds indicating the bookmakers are increasingly confident in the Russian’s quality after he moved into the top four of the world rankings recently.

Zverev at Risk of Missing ATP Finals Defence

Champion in London a year ago, Zverev might not even make it to the ATP Finals after an inconsistent 2019. He is in the third quarter of the draw for the Paris Masters with Federer.

A price of 22/1 for Zverev is a sign the German cannot really be trusted at the moment after he suffered a shock early loss to Taylor Fritz in his last action on the court.

Federer, meanwhile, breezed through the competition in Basel and his route to the quarter-finals of the Paris Masters does not look challenging. Federer beat Radu Albot in Basel and they could face off in the second round with Gael Monfils the likely third round opponent for the Swiss star.

The 6/1 price for Federer reflects the fact he has often failed to produce his best tennis at this tournament. Federer has only reached the final of the Paris Masters once, winning the title in 2011 when he defeated Jo-Wilfried Tsonga.

To put that record into context, David Ferrer and the surprise 2017 winner Jack Sock have both been triumphant in Bercy more recently than the former world number one. Federer v Zverev remains the likely quarter-final from this section and the German would be a big outsider.

Defending Champion Khachanov set for Nadal Clash

Nadal, as the second seed in the draw, has been placed in the bottom quarter. As such, he is scheduled to meet last year’s winner Khachanov in the last eight.

Like Federer, Nadal has an average record in this tournament and he has not been to the final since 2007, when he lost to David Nalbandian, winning only four games in a one-sided match.

Hand inflammation forced Nadal to pull out of the Shanghai Masters and he has not been on the court since, so it is difficult to know how his chances stack up at a price of around 11/2 here.

Nadal is expected to come up against Adrian Mannarino in his first match, assuming he is fit enough to play, and in the third round he could face Stan Wawrinka if the Swiss is able to recover from the injury that forced him to pull out in Basel last week.

Marin Cilic is also in this section of the draw but odds of 100/1 indicate a lack of confidence in the Croatian from tennis betting operators, which is due to his lack of form and fitness during 2019.

If Nadal gets that far, his opponent in the quarter-finals should be Khachanov, a player nobody will underestimate at the Paris Masters after his stunning performances here a year ago.

The Russian, though, can still be backed at odds of 80/1 – a price that looks generous.

Paris Masters Best Tennis Bets

Djokovic’s status as the favourite should not be questioned but he is unusually vulnerable this week considering the draw has pitted him in the same quarter as both Tsitsipas and Medvedev.

The Serbian can therefore perhaps be ignored this week, with the 5/1 available on fourth seed Medvedev looking a more appealing option given the Russian’s brilliant 2019 to date.

A number of players will be motivated by the chance to secure a place at the ATP Finals this week, with Matteo Berrettini among them. The Italian has been in fine form of late but will probably have to knock out both Khachanov and Nadal to go deep into the draw. Still, 50/1 for a man with everything to play for looks a price worth considering at small stakes only.

Another big price option and a selection worthy of shortlisting is defending champion Khachanov, whose 80/1 price could soon collapse despite being in the same quarter as Nadal.

Of the big names in the bottom half, it is the ageless Federer who is preferred at 6/1, but recent history suggests the winner of the 2019 Paris Masters could well come out of left field.

With Sock and Khachanov the most recent two Bercy winners, do not discount a talented young player such as Stockholm champion Denis Shapovalov making a mockery of 100/1 odds.

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