Wimbledon 2019 Men’s Betting Preview: Federer Bids for Ninth SW19 Title

The old guard are expected to dominate once again with Roger Federer bidding to win Wimbledon for an incredible ninth time, though Novak Djokovic enters as the betting favourite.

Rafael Nadal completes the big three with Andy Murray still on his way back to full fitness after undergoing hip surgery. Murray will be playing doubles but not singles at SW19 this year.


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The last time a player other than Murray, Nadal, Djokovic or Federer won the men’s title at Wimbledon was back in 2002, when Lleyton Hewitt of Australia was the champion in London.

And the betting odds for Wimbledon 2019 show it is likely to be a similar story this year, with a large gap in the prices to fourth favourite Stefanos Tsitsipas after the top three.

Djokovic is the top seed this year and the Serbian superstar is also the defending champion, having seen off the challenge of Kevin Anderson in straight sets a year ago.

Indeed, Djokovic has won the event three times out of the last five years, so it would be no surprise for him to do so again, although for many tennis fans it will be Federer they want to see lift the trophy at the end of a fortnight’s action.

But where is the best value to be found in the betting odds for this year’s Wimbledon?

Djokovic a Fair Favourite

Despite Federer’s dominance at Wimbledon over the years, it feels right for Novak Djokovic to be at the top of the betting odds in 2019 rather than the veteran Swiss.

After all, Federer has only triumphed here once since 2012 and there are signs age is starting to catch up with the 37-year-old, who is not likely to have too many more visits to SW19,

Djokovic is the world number one – and he is a long way clear of Nadal at the top of the rankings – having won three of the last four Grand Slam events.

It will take something special to unseat Djokovic this year and at a price of 13/8 he is a worthy favourite, though the odds offered by the best tennis betting sites are short enough to perhaps put some casual supporters off.

Djokovic is in the other side of the draw to Federer as the duo are the top two seeds this year, which means the pair could meet in the final.

That would be a repeat of both 2014 and 2015, with Djokovic coming out on top on both occasions, although he was pushed hard by his older rival in each match.

Nadal Unhappy with Second Seed Status

In the build-up to the tournament, two-time winner Rafael Nadal has complained about being made the third seed, behind Federer and Djokovic – who has also questioned the decision made by the tournament organisers – despite being number two in the world rankings.

“Wimbledon is the only tournament of the year that does it like this,” Nadal said in an appearance on Spanish television.

“Obviously it would be better to be two than three but if they think I have to be three I will accept three and fight to win the matches I have to win. Having said that, the only thing that doesn’t seem right about this issue is that it is only Wimbledon that does it. If they all did it, it would seem more correct.

“It’s not only about my particular case. There have been many occasions when players have played well all year on all surfaces but Wimbledon does not respect the ranking they have earned. And for this reason they get more complicated draws.”

Nadal has a point that Wimbledon is a little unusual in the way it decided who should receive which seeding, but his record at the tournament in recent years suggests he is not as likely to win the event as either Djokovic or Federer.

The Spaniard has not reached the final of the tournament since 2011, the year after the second of his two career triumphs here. Even at odds of 6/1, a repeat does not seem likely, although he did get to the semi-finals a year ago only to find Djokovic too strong in the end.

Can Federer Roll Back the Years Again?

It seems to be a debate every year at Wimbledon’s time of year now: does Roger Federer still have the legs to compete in a Grand Slam event? In 2019 he decided to compete in the clay-court swing having opted out in recent years, so it will be interesting to see if that extra tennis has an impact.

Federer’s experience on these grass courts cannot be underestimated, of course, and that is likely to take him deep into the competition. He retains an aura and will be hard to beat for anyone who is not accustomed to coming up against one of the greats of the game.

As usual, Federer warmed up for the tournament by playing in the Halle Open and, as usual, he won the event. It was the 10th time he had triumphed there and he seemed sharp in beating David Goffin to pick up his latest title there.

A price of 3/1 for the Swiss to win what would be his ninth Wimbledon final reflects the fact a Djokovic v Federer final would surprise few tennis fans, but those odds are too short to back.

Young Guns Hoping to Make Ground

Away from the big three, there are a handful of exciting names who will be trying to announce themselves on the grand stage, with Canada’s rising star Felix Auger-Aliassime among them.

Seeded 19th for the competition, the 18-year-old is making a maiden appearance in the main draw at SW19 and it might be the case that 2019 comes a little too soon for him. Yet a price of 33/1 for the teenager to go all the way might turn out to be decent value.

Stefanos Tsitsipas is shorter at around the 20/1 mark – the lowest price available outside of the top three – and the Greek will fear nobody after beating Federer on his way to the semi-finals of the Australian Open earlier in the year.

Last year’s beaten finalist Kevin Anderson is coming back to full fitness, so it might be hard for him to make an impact in the second week, but his giant serve makes him a threat at 66/1.

Alexander Zverev is having a poor year but still still find his fans at a price of 28/1.

Wimbledon Men’s Best Bets

Novak Djokovic is the favourite for a reason and he looks by far the most likely winner of the event, though 13/8 is a price that will be too short for a lot of people to want to take on.

Away from Djokovic, there are a few names of interest on an each way basis, with Kevin Anderson showing a year ago it is possible for someone unfancied to cause major waves at SW19.

At 20/1, Stefanos Tsitsipas is certainly a potential contender for the title, having shown his mettle in Melbourne right at the start of the year.

But keep an eye on Auger-Aliassime. The 18-year-old might not have experience of the main draw at Wimbledon, but he is in great form, has momentum behind him, and is certainly good enough to win the title if the draw opens up in his favour.

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