2019 Shanghai Masters Betting Preview: Djokovic Favourite for Fifth Crown

Novak Djokovic is a strong favourite for this week’s 2019 Shanghai Masters, a tournament he has won four times in his career to date.

Djokovic makes the short journey to Shanghai after triumphing at the Tokyo Open, so he is in good form as he looks to defend the title he won against Borna Coric last season.


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The Serbian superstar is clear at the top of the betting odds for this event, with 6/4 the best price available on a Djokovic triumph despite the strength of the field assembled behind him.

Qizhong Forest Sports City Arena is the venue for a competition where Djokovic is defending a full complement of points, although he has a cushion of over 500 points from Rafael Nadal.

Roger Federer is taking part in one of the elite tournaments on the ATP calendar, while both Dominic Thiem and Stefanos Tsitsipas have entered after facing off in the final of the China Open at the weekend, the Austrian coming from behind to beat the Greek in three sets.

Other names potentially in the frame include Beijing semi-finalist Alexander Zverev and the in-form Daniil Medvedev, the rising Russian who has had a hugely impressive 2019 so far.

But do any of these players offer the best value in the betting odds for the Shanghai Masters? As always, we will consider the odds on offer by our favourite betting sites and see where the value can be found.

Djokovic the Man to Beat

World number one Novak Djokovic enters this event in some of his best form of recent years, with the shoulder injury that forced him to retire from the US Open no longer troubling him.

Djokovic was imperious at the Japan Open, where he won his fourth title of the year. Either Frances Tiafoe or Denis Shapovalov will be his first opponent in Shanghai, but on current form it is hard to see how Djokovic would not come through against either of those young players.

The seedings have Djokovic in line to meet Tsitsipas in the quarterfinals, with the Greek reaching his first final on the ATP tour since May in Beijing at the weekend.

But Tsitsipas – who can be backed at a price of 20/1 to triumph at this event – has a challenge to get through the quarter as he opens up his Shanghai Masters campaign against Felix Auger-Aliassime, who has beaten him in their two previous meetings.

Gael Monfils and Hubert Hurkacz are among the other players to watch in this mini-section of the draw, while 16th seed John Isner could go under the radar after finding a little bit of form at the China Open, where he collected a pair of wins before exiting the tournament.

Medvedev Should be Fresh After Week Off

Having played a huge amount of tennis in the last few months, Djokovic’s potential semi-final opponent Daniil Medvedev game himself a well-deserved week off heading into the Shanghai Masters.

After his triumph in a home event in St Petersburg last month, the Russian – who is at 8/1 this week – has been to the final of each of the last five events he entered, including the US Open.

He will almost certainly have to beat Djokovic if he is to extend that record, with Gilles Simon likely to be his first opponent. Waiting in the third round for Medvedev could be Diego Schwartzman in a match that would strongly favour the world number four.

It could well be an all-Russian quarter-final from this part of the draw as Medvedev is scheduled to come up against his compatriot Karen Khachanov, who is the seventh seed this week.

Fernando Verdasco could be an awkward opponent first up for Khachanov, who will then be expected to come up against Fabio Fognini – who he beat en route to the Beijing semi-finals last week – in round three. Khachanov’s price of 25/1 reflects the fact he has a tough draw here.

Draw Suits Thiem After Beijing Win

Dominic Thiem has not been in great form of late, but he showed character against Tsitsipas in Beijing, fighting back from a difficult situation to claim his fourth ATP title of the year so far.

Priced up at 18/1 in the Shanghai Masters betting odds, Thiem looks to have a great chance of going deep as he has a good draw, with Nikoloz Basilashvili likely to be his toughest test.

Roberto Bautista Agut is the eighth seed this week and he has been to the final of the Shanghai Masters before, so he could be worth considering at a price of 33/1. It is also in the Spaniard’s favour that he is one of the players still hoping to secure a place at the ATP Finals this year.

Federer Returns to the Court

Back in action for the first time since the US Open, it is hard to know what to expect from Roger Federer, who is the second favourite at a price of 9/2. On paper Marin Cilic is a tough second-round opponent but Federer has only lost to him once in their 10 meetings.

The main competition for Federer in the bottom quarter of the draw should come from Zverev, but he allowed his frustration to boil over in the semi-finals of the China Open and continues to struggle for form and consistency this year. At 14/1 this week, the German is one to avoid.

Coric could be one to watch out for from this section of the draw, having got to the final a year ago. He is scheduled to meet Zverev in the third round but looks good value at as big as 80/1.

Shanghai Masters Best Bets

Novak Djokovic is going to be tough to stop but at the 6/4 mark, many tennis fans will feel he is simply too short to back. That said, the world number one often comes up trumps even at low odds.

Second favourite Roger Federer is a tricky one given his lack of recent action, but the veteran Swiss has won the Shanghai Masters twice before – most recently in 2017 – and could do so again.

More value plays come in the form of Daniil Medvedev, whose run of reaching five consecutive finals is at risk due to being in the same half of the draw as Djokovic. At 8/1, he is worth a punt.

For those willing to take each-way bets at small stakes only, the 80/1 available on Borna Coric looks very generous indeed. He can beat anyone on his day and got to the final here a year ago.

Dominic Thiem at 18/1 is another decent value play given his triumph at the China Open last week, even though his form in Beijing was quite mixed.

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