Wimbledon Men’s Betting Preview: Federer Favourite to Defend Title

Roger Federer is strongly favoured by the oddsmakers to win the 2018 Wimbledon title for the ninth time in his gilded career when the third Grand Slam of the year gets under way in London.

Federer triumphed at SW19 a year ago after skipping the clay-court season and he has used the same tactic again in 2018 to ensure he is as fit as possible for the tournament.


Best Wimbledon Betting Sites

Betting Site
Bonus
Visit


As such, the 36-year-old is the clear favourite in the betting for Wimbledon this year, with the inability of young guns to close the gap demonstrated in the rest of the event’s prices.

Novak Djokovic is set to start the tournament as the second favourite even though for the former world number one has yet to show his best tennis since returning from injury. The beaten finalist last year, Marin Cilic, is listed as the third favourite with the majority of the bookmakers, followed by Federer’s old rival Rafael Nadal, who won the French Open yet again.

Potential contenders to challenge this elite group of four men are thin on the ground, with tennis fans likely hoping a rising star such as Alexander Zverev or Denis Shapovalov makes a splash.

In terms of the home hopes, Andy Murray appears undecided on whether or not he will take up his place in the draw, having looked well below his best in his recent return to the court. Kyle Edmund has a chance to raise excitement levels among Britons in Murray’s expected absence.

Wimbledon Betting Odds

The tournament could well end up being a procession for Federer, but where is the value? We will see what we can find this year as we consider the outright odds and discuss a few of the top picks that may offer the greatest value for betting on Wimbledon.

The tables below show the outright odds for each of the top-20 players competing at Wimbledon, but you can visit any of our recommended tennis bookmakers for odds on the entire field.

Also remember that although we’re focusing on the outright betting odds for our comparison below, the world’s best tennis betting sites will be taking a full range of wagers on every match throughout the course of this tournament. Wimbledon is one of the key betting events of the year for online bookmakers, and they tend to go all out when it comes to offering all manner of wagers all the way through the tournament.

  ComeOn.com 888Sport
Roger Federer 8/5 6/4
Novak Djokovic 11/2 5/1
Marin Cilic 6/1 6/1
Rafael Nadal 7/1 7/1
Juan Martin Del Potro 16/1 16/1
Alexander Zverev 18/1 16/1
Nick Kyrgios 18/1 20/1
Milos Raonic 20/1 20/1
Grigor Dimitrov 34/1 40/1
Dominic Thiem 40/1 40/1
John Isner 44/1 80/1
Kevin Anderson 50/1 50/1
Karen Khachanov 80/1 250/1
Stan Wawrinka 80/1 300/1
David Goffin 80/1 100/1
Sam Querry 80/1 80/1
Kei Nishikori 80/1 80/1
Kyle Edmund 80/1 100/1
Denis Shapovalov 80/1 80/1
Gael Monfils 99/1 150/1
  www.comeon.com www.888sport.com

Federer deserves Favourite Status

It is impossible to argue against Federer being the most likely winner here. The Swiss broke a four-year wait for his eighth title at Wimbledon a year ago but seems well placed to make it nine.

A price of around the 8/5 mark with the bookmakers for another Federer win reflects the fact he is going to be an extremely hard man to beat over the course of the fortnight’s action.

The draw seems to have done Federer a favour too, with Kevin Anderson the biggest threat lurking in his quarter. The giant South African, though, would not be expected to stop Federer.

Federer’s grass-court form is good heading into Wimbledon, although he did not collect his seemingly annual title at Halle, instead losing in the final. Federer did win in Stuttgart, though.

Serbia’s Dusan Lajovic has reached the quarter-finals of the Madrid Masters this year but he should provide a helpful first-round opponent for top seed Federer, who could face Borna Coric – who beat him in the Halle final – in his fourth match at SW19.

Djokovic and Nadal Aim to Roll Back the Years

Federer’s main competition could come from two of his oldest rivals – Djokovic and Nadal. Both men have won the title multiple times and therefore have the experience required to go all the way at the only grass-court Grand Slam event of the year. Nadal, the second seed, can be backed at as big as 8/1, while Djokovic is around the 11/2 mark.

Despite only being the 12th seed, Djokovic is fancied by many to meet Federer in the final. The Serbian starts against Tennys Sandgren, the controversial American as famous for his opinions away from the court as his skill on it. Sandgren may have reached the quarter-finals of the Australian Open at the start of the year, but he is not particularly talented on grass.

Edmund is a possible third-round opponent for Djokovic, who the seedings predict will come up against Dominic Thiem in his following match. Austria’s Thiem does not have a good Wimbledon record, with Edmund expected to put up a much bigger fight in front of his home fans.

If Djokovic gets that far he is scheduled to face Zverev in the quarter-finals. While the young German will surely will Grand Slams in his career, he has never been further than the last-eight in one yet and Djokovic’s know-how should see him through this section of the draw.

For Nadal, it is harder to see his route deep into the second week as he has failed to get any further than the fourth round in each of the last six years at Wimbledon.

Awkward opponents including Marco Cecchinato, the semi-finalist at the French Open, are set to meet Nadal early on and it would not be a huge shock if he lost in the first week again.

Murray Fairytale Comeback Almost Certain to Flop

Update: Murray has indeed withdrawn. Murray announced on Sunday that he has withdrawn from Wimbledon due to a hip injury.

At the time of writing, Murray is still yet to give a firm answer on whether or not he will even play at Wimbledon, having been unable to get as much grass-court match action as he would like.

Wimbledon 2017 was the last time Murray stepped on to a court in a Grand Slam and it has been a long road back to fitness for the Scot, who has struggled to recover from hip surgery.

As a two-time champion at SW19 – Murray triumphed in both 2013 and 2016 – he has to be respected but it is hard to see how he can make a serious impact given his fitness worries.

Frenchman Benoit Paire is Murray’s first-round opponent and the unseeded former world number one could face Juan Martin del Potro in his third match, should he get that far.

Plenty of home fans will be tempted by a price as large as 33/1 for Murray to make a glorious comeback but there are too many dangerous obstacles for a player still feeling his way back.

Is it time for Kyrgios to step up?

Away from the familiar names of the old ‘Big Four’ and Cilic, perhaps the most appealing option in the men’s draw at Wimbledon this year is that of mercurial Australian Nick Kyrgios.

Plenty of column inches have been devoted to Kyrgios’ seemingly fragile mentality in the past and sooner rather than later he has to show a willingness to knuckle down and work for wins.

Kyrgios has been given a reasonably kind draw, the number 15 seed facing Denis Istomin up first with Robin Haase and Kei Nishikori expected to follow in rounds two and three.

While Kyrgios is in the same quarter as Djokovic, bookmakers offer around 20/1 on the Australian and he might just be the best value pick in the whole draw.

Wimbledon Men’s Best Bets

Realistically the trophy seems to have Federer’s name on it once more and, even at a price of 15/8, it is tough to see how anyone can stop the legendary Swiss winning at Wimbledon again.

Cilic, beaten by Federer in the final a year ago, already has a grass-court title in London this summer having triumphed at Queen’s and he could be tempting at around the 15/2 mark.

But Cilic is in the same half of the draw as Federer and would surely be beaten by the veteran again at the semi-final stage, assuming they each get that far.

Each-way value therefore has to come from the bottom section, which is stacked with names including Djokovic, Nadal and Murray.

Kyrgios is rarely a smart selection but at 20/1 he is one of the few names with the talent – if not the capacity – to win at Wimbledon, while Del Potro has a tough bracket but is another decent pick at the same price, having shown his skills at plenty of Grand Slam events in the past.

 

 

Scroll to Top